13
Jaina D'essarts
7yo Mare · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix Des Decumarias - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#2
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
19%
Place Prob
26%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 2.6)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | Cabourg | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-15 | Lisieux | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-18 | Caen | 6 | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-06-07 | Lisieux | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-13 | Argentan | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-22 | Vincennes | 5 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 15100% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength76%
Delivery trend -3.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/2024 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 92% | +0.29 |
| 08/06/2025 | 1st | 22/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 12/07/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |
| 12/08/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 04/09/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 93% | +0.14 |
| 22/01/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |
| 13/04/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 88% | +0.72 |
| 07/06/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 18/06/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 86% | -0.04 |