5
Jesabelle Du Jour
7yo Mare · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix Des Decumarias - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#6
Rank
Odds
45/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 9.2 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.7
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Cabourg | 5 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-09-09 | Angers | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Saint-Malo | 6 | 11th | 13th | −2 |
| 2026-07-03 | Cabourg | 6 | −2 | ||
| 2026-03-17 | Meslay Du Maine | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-05 | Caen | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1557% of fieldRange 6-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength41%
Delivery trend +2.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/12/2024 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 93% | +0.05 |
| 03/02/2025 | 11th | 66/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 12/02/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 07/04/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 69% | +0.11 |
| 16/12/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 92% | +0.39 |
| 05/03/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 09/07/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 09/09/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 19/09/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 73% | +0.13 |