15
Jiva
7yo Mare · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix Des Decumarias - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#3
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
10%
Place Prob
19%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength10%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Cholet | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | Vichy | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Cabourg | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-04 | Les Sables | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Caen | 6 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-06-05 | Toulouse | 6 | 4th | 6th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1586% of fieldRange 4-11 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength54%
Delivery trend -5.7% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |
| 13/07/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 91% | +0.09 |
| 15/08/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 04/05/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 91% | -0.01 |
| 05/06/2026 | 4th | 7/4 | 91% | 67% | -0.24 |
| 18/06/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 04/08/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 90% | +0.03 |
| 25/08/2026 | 6th | 6/4 | 92% | 50% | -0.42 |
| 20/09/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 90% | -0.02 |