12
Karoline Cade
6yo Mare · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix Des Decumarias - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#11
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Lisieux | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Saint-Malo | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Caen | 5 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-03-16 | Caen | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-11 | Vincennes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-12 | Mauquenchy | 6 | 9th | 11th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1579% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength78%
Delivery trend +0.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 83% | +0.31 |
| 29/07/2025 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 56% | +0.50 |
| 23/12/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 12/01/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 33% | +0.28 |
| 11/02/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 16/03/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 92% | +0.29 |
| 30/05/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 11/08/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 17/08/2026 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |