14
Koh Lanta
6yo Mare · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix Des Decumarias - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#1
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
70%
Place Prob
50%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Cabourg | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-21 | Nantes | 5 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-01-10 | Vincennes | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-26 | Vincennes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Laval | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-08 | Enghien | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1593% of fieldRange 2-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength64%
Delivery trend -4.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/12/2024 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 82% | +0.00 |
| 18/12/2024 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 87% | +0.31 |
| 05/01/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 86% | +0.23 |
| 26/01/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 93% | +0.22 |
| 01/11/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 26/11/2025 | 7th | 2/1 | 89% | 54% | -0.36 |
| 10/01/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 91% | -0.01 |
| 21/02/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 25/08/2026 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |