10

Kommunes De Play
6yo Mare · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix Des Decumarias - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#7
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength25%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 6.6)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Angers | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Cabourg | 6 | −2 | ||
| 2026-06-29 | Vichy | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-31 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-04 | Amiens | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1550% of fieldRange 6-15 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength30%
Delivery trend -1.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07/2025 | 13th | 50/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 29/07/2025 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 12/08/2025 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 01/09/2025 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 25/09/2025 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 04/03/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 02/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 78% | +0.25 |
| 29/06/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 93% | +0.14 |
| 09/09/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 82% | +0.34 |