10

Kommunes De Play

6yo Mare · 0-0

Cabourg · Prix Des Decumarias - Attele · 1m 5f 147y

#7

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength25%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 6.6)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cabourg 11/07/2025 · Pos 13th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 011/07C?C0 @ Meslay Du Maine 29/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 0C0 @ Cabourg 12/08/2025 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 012/08C?C0 @ Vincennes 01/09/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Laval 25/09/2025 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f41y Std 025/09C?C0 @ Amiens 04/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 02/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 02/06C?C0 @ Vichy 29/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 0C0 @ Angers 09/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m7f90y Std 09/09C?projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Angers?3rd3rd0
2026-07-17Cabourg6−2
2026-06-29Vichy?2nd2nd0
2026-06-02Vincennes?3rd3rd0
2026-03-31Vincennes?0
2026-03-04Amiens?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/071/092/069/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1550% of fieldRange 6-15 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength30%

Delivery trend -1.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 15.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/07/202513th50/10%20%+0.20
29/07/20253rd25/10%78%+0.78
12/08/20258th22/10%42%+0.42
01/09/20259th28/10%11%+0.11
25/09/202510th40/10%36%+0.36
04/03/20263rd40/10%82%+0.82
02/06/20263rd9/153%78%+0.25
29/06/20262nd4/179%93%+0.14
09/09/20263rd10/147%82%+0.34