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11

Madison Hub

4yo Gelding · 9-13

Cabourg · Prix Des Rouges-gorges - Monte · 1m 5f 147y

#14

Rank

Odds

35/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 01/02/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 1321/02C?C0 @ Caen 31/03/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 13231/03C?C0 @ Le Mont-Saint-Michel 17/08/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m4f203y Std 017/08C?C0 @ Caen 17/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 1m4f39y Hvy 13217/09C?C0 @ Chateaubriant 07/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 1m3f95y Std 07/06C?5 @ Laval 11/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 13911/065projClass-projected finish: 8th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-11Laval56th6th0
2026-06-07Chateaubriant?9th9th0
2025-10-04Cabourg?0
2025-09-17Caen?4th4th0
2025-08-17Le Mont-Saint-Michel?7th7th0
2025-04-08Vincennes?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0231/0317/0817/097/0611/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1847% of fieldRange 2-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength60%

Delivery trend +3.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 18. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/02/20255th12/137%56%+0.19
31/03/20255th20/10%60%+0.60
17/08/20257th100/10%45%+0.45
17/09/20254th33/10%80%+0.80
07/06/20269th150/10%20%+0.20
11/06/20266th50/10%62%+0.62