3
Marco Du Verger
4yo Gelding · 8-13
Cabourg · Prix Des Rouges-gorges - Monte · 1m 5f 147y
#18
Rank
Odds
75/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#18
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 5
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Cabourg | 6 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-09-06 | Vire | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Lisieux | 6 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-08-14 | Cabourg | 6 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-03-19 | Caen | 6 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-03-15 | Graignes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1829% of fieldRange 6-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength61%
Delivery trend +1.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 19/03/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 14/08/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 29/08/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 06/09/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 19/09/2026 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |