5
Matuvu
4yo Gelding · 9-6
Cabourg · Prix Des Rouges-gorges - Monte · 1m 5f 147y
#8
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.7
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Cabourg | 6 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-09-06 | Vire | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-29 | Lisieux | 6 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-06-18 | Caen | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Caen | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-03-13 | Caen | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1888% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength78%
Delivery trend +10.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/03/2025 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 27/05/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 18/06/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 40% | +0.35 |
| 29/08/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 77% | +0.51 |
| 19/09/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 81% | +0.76 |