8
Melo Du Locheur
4yo Colt · 9-13
Cabourg · Prix Des Rouges-gorges - Monte · 1m 5f 147y
#13
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Cabourg | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-09-16 | Cabourg | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Pornichet | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Nancy | 6 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-05-08 | La Capelle | 6 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1853% of fieldRange 1-17 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength60%
Delivery trend -16.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/05/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 26/06/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 63% | +0.15 |
| 27/08/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 44% | -0.19 |
| 16/09/2026 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |