9
Mille Dollars
4yo Colt · 9-13
Cabourg · Prix Des Rouges-gorges - Monte · 1m 5f 147y
#3
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 5
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Cabourg | 6 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-09-06 | Vire | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-29 | Lisieux | 6 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-07-28 | Cabourg | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Les Sables | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Graignes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1894% of fieldRange 2-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength57%
Delivery trend -7.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/03/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 06/05/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 02/06/2026 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 28/07/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 29/08/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 85% | +0.06 |
| 19/09/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 88% | +0.16 |