16
Milord Dream
4yo Gelding · 9-13
Cabourg · Prix Des Rouges-gorges - Monte · 1m 5f 147y
#4
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Cabourg | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Cabourg | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-02 | Lisieux | 6 | −1 | ||
| 2026-06-18 | Caen | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Argentan | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-26 | Laval | 5 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1859% of fieldRange 6-18 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength21%
Delivery trend -2.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/02/2025 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 15/10/2025 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 26/01/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 86% | +0.20 |
| 19/05/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 70% | +0.15 |
| 18/06/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 01/09/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |