8
Norma Castelle
3yo Filly · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix De Catteville - Attele · 1m 5f 120y
#14
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Cabourg | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Chateaubriant | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Le Mont-Saint-Michel | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Lisieux | 6 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-06-11 | Amiens | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-18 | Vire | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 140% of fieldRange 6-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength39%
Delivery trend -3.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 14th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/03/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 11/06/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 55% | +0.28 |
| 02/07/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 16/07/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 07/08/2026 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 16/09/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |