9
Ma Belle Asschadel
4yo Filly · 9-8
Cabourg · Prix De Favieres - Monte · 1m 5f 147y
#13
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.7
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Mauquenchy | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-09-01 | Vincennes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Cabourg | 6 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-08-17 | Lisieux | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-21 | Cabourg | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Les Sables | 6 | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1431% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength64%
Delivery trend +3.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 09/10/2025 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 14/06/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 03/07/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 69% | +0.42 |
| 21/07/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 79% | +0.79 |
| 28/08/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 01/09/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 10/09/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 54% | +0.38 |