14
Ma Jolie Chose
4yo Filly · 9-8
Cabourg · Prix De Favieres - Monte · 1m 5f 147y
#1
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
100%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Chateaubriant | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-25 | Vichy | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-11 | Cabourg | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Les Sables | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-03-19 | Caen | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-05 | Laval | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 14100% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +4.3% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07/2025 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 40% | -0.13 |
| 28/01/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 91% | +0.91 |
| 02/06/2026 | 11th | 66/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 11/08/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |