12
Malavista Somolli
4yo Filly · 9-8
Cabourg · Prix De Favieres - Monte · 1m 5f 147y
#10
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼5
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +5.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Vire | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-25 | Cabourg | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Cabourg | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-31 | Cabourg | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Caen | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-18 | Vire | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1446% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength62%
Delivery trend +1.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/01/2025 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 22/05/2025 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 02/06/2025 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 18/06/2025 | 2nd | 28/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 09/08/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 27/08/2025 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 12/09/2025 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 71% | +0.66 |
| 31/07/2026 | 6th | 125/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 25/08/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |