4
Millonga Vrie
4yo Filly · 9-8
Cabourg · Prix De Favieres - Monte · 1m 5f 147y
#8
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 5
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Cabourg | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-26 | Les Sables | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Mauquenchy | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Laval | 6 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-03-05 | Caen | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1423% of fieldRange 14-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -34.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/03/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 28/03/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 62% | +0.09 |
| 05/08/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 87% | +0.13 |
| 26/08/2026 | 10th | 9/2 | 76% | 31% | -0.46 |