8
Milonga De Lou
4yo Filly · 9-8
Cabourg · Prix De Favieres - Monte · 1m 5f 147y
#14
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 6.7)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 5
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Les Sables | 6 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-07-23 | Pornichet | 6 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-07-08 | Pornichet | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Amiens | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 148% of fieldRange 10-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength24%
Delivery trend -15.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 23/07/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 62% | +0.56 |
| 21/08/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |