Bold Rock
4yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 66
Charles Town · Race 2 - Claiming · 7f
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Charles Town | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Charles Town | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-07-25 | Charles Town | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Charles Town | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-06-20 | Charles Town | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-06-06 | Charles Town | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/03/2026 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 12/04/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 03/05/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |
| 06/06/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 20/06/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 60% | -0.06 |
| 04/07/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 13% | -0.03 |
| 25/07/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 16/08/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 20/09/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |