3
Cat Fast
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 86
Charles Town · Race 2 - Claiming · 7f
#5
Rank
Odds
8/5
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Charles Town | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Charles Town | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-06-28 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-02 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength55%
Delivery trend -2.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 89% | +0.07 |
| 23/11/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 21/02/2026 | 4th | 11/8 | 93% | 63% | -0.30 |
| 02/04/2026 | 5th | 11/10 | 94% | 20% | -0.74 |
| 02/05/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 05/06/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 80% | -0.09 |
| 28/06/2026 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 67% | -0.28 |
| 09/08/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 29/08/2026 | 4th | 6/4 | 92% | 50% | -0.42 |