Ed's Prophecy
4yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 69
Charles Town · Race 2 - Claiming · 7f
#1
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
93%
Place Prob
67%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Charles Town | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Charles Town | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Charles Town | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Charles Town | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-06-06 | Charles Town | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-05-03 | Charles Town | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.5% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/03/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 27/03/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 20% | -0.48 |
| 10/04/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 03/05/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 06/06/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 04/07/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 25/07/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 13/08/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 11/09/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 71% | -0.02 |