Musical Entourage
4yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 72
Charles Town · Race 2 - Claiming · 7f
#2
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
15%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Charles Town | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Charles Town | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Charles Town | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Mountaineer | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-05-29 | Charles Town | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Charles Town | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/03/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 26/03/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 10/04/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 03/05/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 29% | -0.24 |
| 29/05/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 38% | -0.44 |
| 09/06/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 03/07/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 29% | -0.32 |
| 13/08/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 83% | +0.23 |
| 11/09/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 86% | +0.38 |