Randy Said So
3yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 56
Charles Town · Race 2 - Claiming · 7f
#8
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 6.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Colonial Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Colonial Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Colonial Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Charles Town | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-04-25 | Charles Town | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-03-28 | Charles Town | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 14/11/2025 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 07/03/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 28/03/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 25/04/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 07/06/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 10/07/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 26/07/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 23/08/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |