1
Ziggy Stardust
6yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 63
Charles Town · Race 2 - Claiming · 7f
#6
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Charles Town | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Charles Town | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Charles Town | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Charles Town | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Charles Town | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Charles Town | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength71%
Delivery trend -0.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/2025 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 43% | -0.20 |
| 15/05/2025 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 17% | -0.49 |
| 15/03/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 10/04/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 01/05/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 75% | +0.59 |
| 29/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 88% | +0.14 |
| 26/06/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 23/07/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 11/09/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 57% | -0.22 |