6
Kazakh D'arthel
6yo Gelding · 11-4 · OR 102
Clonmel · Clonmel Handicap Hurdle · 2m 166y
#8
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C10.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Down Royal | BHA104 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Killarney | BHA106 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Ballinrobe | BHA108 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Navan | BHA108 | 0 | ||
| 2025-10-30 | Thurles | BHA108 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-12 | Cork | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 11-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -8.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/11/2024 | 13th | 125/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 01/01/2025 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 60% | +0.05 |
| 11/01/2025 | 7th | 200/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 20/09/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |
| 12/10/2025 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 30/10/2025 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 73% | -0.14 |
| 26/05/2026 | 10th | 11/1 | 42% | 36% | -0.06 |
| 16/07/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 22% | -0.15 |
| 28/08/2026 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 38% | -0.14 |