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11

Max Meridius

5yo Gelding · 10-8 · OR 92

Clonmel · Clonmel Handicap Hurdle · 2m 166y

#11

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Free-going sort who gained a first success at Ballinrobe (17f) in July. Back on song with fifth of 15 in handicap hurdle there (2m, good) in August. Needs considering.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength36%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 8.3)

Highest class: BHA55
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Thurles 29/01/2026 · Pos 11th of 18 · OR - · 1m7f179y Hvy 15829/01C8BHA91 @ Clonmel 26/02/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 91 · 2m76y Hvy 164 · below its mark26/02/2026 · OR 91 parBHA88 @ Punchestown 13/05/2026 · Pos 12th of 19 · OR 88 · 2m Goo 156 · below its mark13/05/2026 · OR 88 par13/0588OR 88BHA86 @ Clonmel 05/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR 86 · 2m113y Goo 154 · below its mark05/06/2026 · OR 86 parBHA56 @ Leopardstown 18/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR 56 · 1m1f GF 138 · beat its mark18/06/2026 · OR 56 par18/0656OR 56BHA56 @ Leopardstown 09/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 22 · OR 56 · 1m1f Goo 138 · beat its mark09/07/2026 · OR 56 parBHA85 @ Ballinrobe 21/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 85 · 2m1f89y Gd 148 · beat its mark21/07/2026 · OR 85 par21/0785OR 85BHA93 @ Cork 03/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 93 · 2m1f Goo 143 · below its mark03/08/2026 · OR 93 parBHA92 @ Ballinrobe 10/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR 92 · 2m109y Goo 161 · below its mark10/08/2026 · OR 92 par10/0892OR 92projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-10BallinrobeBHA925th5th0
2026-08-03CorkBHA9311th11th0
2026-07-21BallinrobeBHA851st1st0
2026-07-09LeopardstownBHA5611th11th0
2026-06-18LeopardstownBHA565th5th0
2026-06-05ClonmelBHA865th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/015/0621/0710/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength52%

Delivery trend -3.2% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/01/202611th125/10%41%+0.41
26/02/20269th9/153%0%-0.53
13/05/202612th17/255%39%-0.16
05/06/20265th14/126%73%+0.47
18/06/20265th5/174%71%-0.02
09/07/202611th16/116%52%+0.37
21/07/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
03/08/202611th6/168%0%-0.68
10/08/20265th7/282%71%-0.10