Andys Flame
9yo Gelding · 11-2 · OR 103
Clonmel · Slievenamon Claiming Hurdle · 2m 3f 145y
#4
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 6.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | Galway | BHA105 | 12th | 16th | −3 |
| 2026-07-24 | Kilbeggan | BHA105 | 3rd | 7th | −3 |
| 2026-06-13 | Downpatrick | BHA111 | 11th | 15th | −4 |
| 2026-05-31 | Kilbeggan | BHA113 | 6th | 11th | −4 |
| 2025-06-27 | Cartmel | 4 | 4th | 0th | +4 |
| 2025-04-07 | Kelso | 4 | 1st | -3th | +4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +4.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10/2024 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 89% | +0.23 |
| 26/10/2024 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 10/11/2024 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 07/04/2025 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 27/06/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 25% | -0.54 |
| 31/05/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 13/06/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 24/07/2026 | 3rd | 50/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 29/07/2026 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 39% | +0.39 |