1
Eclipse Chaser
6yo Gelding · 12-0 · OR 119
Clonmel · Slievenamon Claiming Hurdle · 2m 3f 145y
#10
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C9.4
Today:
Class gap: -1.9
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Kilbeggan | BHA120 | −5 | ||
| 2026-07-28 | Galway | BHA121 | 7th | 13th | −5 |
| 2026-07-03 | Wexford | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Wexford | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-06 | Fairyhouse | BHA124 | −5 | ||
| 2026-02-02 | Leopardstown | 1 | +7 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1550% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength57%
Delivery trend +1.5% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 8th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/12/2024 | 6th | 1/1 | 95% | 38% | -0.57 |
| 02/05/2025 | 13th | 20/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 09/08/2025 | 2nd | 1/2 | 97% | 89% | -0.08 |
| 20/09/2025 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 16/11/2025 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 28/12/2025 | 12th | 12/1 | 37% | 35% | -0.02 |
| 07/05/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 60% | -0.08 |
| 03/07/2026 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 30% | -0.46 |
| 28/07/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |