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Jackson Lamb

7yo Gelding · 11-8 · OR 116

Clonmel · Slievenamon Claiming Hurdle · 2m 3f 145y

#9

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Dual winner over hurdles last year and has also shown fair form in maiden chases, runner-up in 6-runner event at Wexford (19f) last month. Not so good last 2 starts, though, including mid-division in a similar race to this at Bellewstown on penultimate start.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲3
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.6 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C10.0
Today:
Class gap: -2.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Downpatrick 14/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 2m5f185y Goo 16614/07C8C8 @ Bellewstown 27/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 2m4f110y Gd 1624 @ Kelso 17/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 115 · 2m4f189y Gd 161 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/09/2025 · OR 115 par17/094OR 1151 @ Cheltenham 24/10/2025 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 115 · 2m87y GS 156 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark24/10/2025 · OR 115 parC0 @ Wexford 03/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 2m3f110y Gd 1663/07C?C0 @ Wexford 22/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 2m3f Gd 166BHA112 @ Wexford 08/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 112 · 2m3f20y Goo 166 · below its mark08/08/2026 · OR 112 par8/08112OR 112C8 @ Bellewstown 26/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR 118 · 2m4f110y Goo 168 · below its mark26/08/2026 · OR 118 parBHA112 @ Downpatrick 18/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR 112 · 2m7f110y Gd 168 · below its mark18/09/2026 · OR 112 par18/09112OR 112projClass-projected finish: 8th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-18DownpatrickBHA11210th14th−4
2026-08-26Bellewstown?5th5th0
2026-08-08WexfordBHA1122nd6th−4
2026-07-22Wexford?5th5th0
2026-07-03Wexford?7th7th0
2026-05-31Kilbeggan?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0724/108/0818/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1564% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength70%

Delivery trend +3.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/07/20253rd2/189%67%-0.23
27/08/20251st1/195%100%+0.05
17/09/20251st8/1597%100%+0.03
24/10/202510th33/10%18%+0.18
03/07/20267th40/10%40%+0.40
22/07/20265th25/10%50%+0.50
08/08/20262nd28/10%80%+0.80
26/08/20265th6/168%67%-0.02
18/09/202610th9/153%36%-0.17