9
Marlpark
7yo Gelding · 10-10 · OR 83
Clonmel · Slievenamon Claiming Hurdle · 2m 3f 145y
#15
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 10.7 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.9
Today:
Class gap: -1.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Kilbeggan | BHA85 | −1 | ||
| 2026-07-21 | Ballinrobe | BHA85 | −1 | ||
| 2026-06-05 | Clonmel | BHA88 | −1 | ||
| 2026-05-28 | Limerick | BHA90 | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-04-18 | Bellewstown | BHA93 | 11th | 13th | −2 |
| 2026-04-02 | Clonmel | BHA94 | 11th | 13th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 150% of fieldRange 2-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength52%
Delivery trend +7.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 15th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/11/2024 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 14% | -0.41 |
| 24/11/2024 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 29% | -0.19 |
| 03/12/2024 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 71% | +0.06 |
| 08/01/2026 | 4th | 200/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 07/03/2026 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 26/03/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 02/04/2026 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 17% | -0.10 |
| 18/04/2026 | 11th | 28/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 28/05/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 63% | +0.47 |