Migdam
7yo Gelding · 10-10 · OR 108
Clonmel · Slievenamon Claiming Hurdle · 2m 3f 145y
#12
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 5.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Downpatrick | BHA110 | 4th | 8th | −4 |
| 2026-09-04 | Kilbeggan | BHA114 | 7th | 12th | −4 |
| 2026-05-08 | Ballinrobe | BHA65 | 14th | 13th | +1 |
| 2026-04-06 | Fairyhouse | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-11-26 | Dundalk | BHA74 | 13th | 13th | +0 |
| 2025-10-09 | Thurles | BHA64 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 71% | +0.45 |
| 17/08/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 28/09/2025 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 71% | +0.08 |
| 09/10/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 91% | +0.25 |
| 26/11/2025 | 13th | 22/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 06/04/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 65% | +0.65 |
| 08/05/2026 | 14th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 04/09/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 18/09/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |