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14

Plontier

10yo Colt · 10-6 · OR 119

Clonmel · Slievenamon Claiming Hurdle · 2m 3f 145y

#13

Rank

Odds

13/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Scored over hurdles at Sligo in August 2024 for Willie Mullins. Well-held twelfth of 14 in handicap hurdle for current yard at Killarney (2¾m, good to soft) in August. Needs to take a big step forward.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 10.8 /10 (raw 6.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.7
Today:
Class gap: -2.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ Fairyhouse 01/12/2024 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 2m110y Yie 158 · HIGHER CLASS1/1211 @ Naas 05/01/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 2m4f Sft 166 · HIGHER CLASSBHA88 @ Galway 28/07/2025 · Pos 6th of 20 · OR 88 · 2m179y Yie 158 · below its mark28/07/2025 · OR 88 par28/0788OR 88BHA88 @ Curragh 28/09/2025 · Pos 10th of 30 · OR 88 · 2m170y Yie 125 · below its mark28/09/2025 · OR 88 parBHA128 @ Punchestown 11/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 128 · 2m12y Sft 166 · below its mark11/12/2025 · OR 128 par11/12128OR 128C8 @ Tramore 07/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 87 · 1m4f Goo 128 · below its mark07/07/2026 · OR 87 parBHA86 @ Galway 27/07/2026 · Pos 12th of 20 · OR 86 · 2m179y Yie 158 · below its mark27/07/2026 · OR 86 par27/0786OR 86BHA83 @ Tramore 15/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 83 · 2m Goo 137 · below its mark15/08/2026 · OR 83 parBHA123 @ Killarney 22/08/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 123 · 2m6f80y Goo 157 · below its mark22/08/2026 · OR 123 par22/08123OR 123projClass-projected finish: 13th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22KillarneyBHA12312th18th−5
2026-08-15TramoreBHA836th7th−1
2026-07-27GalwayBHA8612th13th−1
2026-07-07Tramore?2nd2nd0
2025-12-11PunchestownBHA1287th13th−5
2025-09-28CurraghBHA8810th12th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/1228/0927/0722/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1536% of fieldRange 1-15 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength60%

Delivery trend -5.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 15. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/12/20244th33/10%57%+0.57
05/01/20256th40/10%29%+0.29
28/07/20256th20/10%74%+0.74
28/09/202510th40/10%69%+0.69
11/12/20257th9/488%14%-0.74
07/07/20262nd2/189%80%-0.09
27/07/202612th66/10%42%+0.42
15/08/20266th16/116%29%+0.13
22/08/202612th66/10%15%+0.15