15

Shanroe

12yo Gelding · 10-6 · OR 106

Clonmel · Slievenamon Claiming Hurdle · 2m 3f 145y

#6

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Useful Flat winner at his peak in 2023. Lightly raced in his advancing years and went with little encouragement after 10 months off when tenth of 13 in handicap hurdle at Navan (2m, good to soft) 12 days

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength30%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 11.1 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C8.7
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Chester 14/09/2024 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 105 · 1m7f196y Sft 135 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/09/2024 · OR 105 par14/092OR 1051 @ Naas 10/11/2024 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 132 · 2m4f Goo 155 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark10/11/2024 · OR 132 parBHA130 @ Fairyhouse 30/11/2024 · Pos 8th of 24 · OR 130 · 2m4f55y Yie 168 · below its mark30/11/2024 · OR 130 par30/11130OR 1301 @ Down Royal 30/05/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 101 · 2m Gd 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/05/2025 · OR 101 parBHA98 @ Ballinrobe 21/07/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 98 · 1m4f184y Goo 139 · below its mark21/07/2025 · OR 98 par21/0798OR 98BHA94 @ Clonmel 11/09/2025 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 94 · 2m144y Sft 144 · below its mark11/09/2025 · OR 94 parBHA120 @ Down Royal 01/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR 120 · 2m190y Yie 153 · below its mark01/11/2025 · OR 120 par1/11120OR 120BHA90 @ Dundalk 28/11/2025 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR 90 · 2m Std 140 · below its mark28/11/2025 · OR 90 parBHA109 @ Navan 19/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR 109 · 1m7f165y Goo 155 · below its mark19/09/2026 · OR 109 par19/09109OR 109
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-19NavanBHA10910th14th−3
2025-11-28DundalkBHA9012th14th−2
2025-11-01Down RoyalBHA1208th13th−5
2025-09-11ClonmelBHA9411th13th−2
2025-07-21BallinrobeBHA989th12th−2
2025-05-30Down Royal16th-2th+7

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0930/051/1119/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1543% of fieldRange 8-15 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength19%

Delivery trend -0.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 15.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/09/202410th25/10%10%+0.10
10/11/202410th50/10%10%+0.10
30/11/20248th50/10%70%+0.70
30/05/20256th80/10%29%+0.29
21/07/20259th33/10%11%+0.11
11/09/202511th50/10%0%0.00
01/11/20258th28/10%36%+0.36
28/11/202512th100/10%8%+0.08
19/09/202610th33/10%25%+0.25