11
Tullyveery Lad
10yo Gelding · 10-10 · OR 102
Clonmel · Slievenamon Claiming Hurdle · 2m 3f 145y
#7
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 9.4 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C10.4
Today:
Class gap: -2.9
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Tramore | BHA113 | 5th | 10th | −4 |
| 2026-08-14 | Tramore | BHA104 | 5th | 9th | −3 |
| 2026-08-02 | Galway | BHA106 | −3 | ||
| 2026-07-06 | Roscommon | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Ballinrobe | BHA110 | 13th | 17th | −4 |
| 2026-05-04 | Down Royal | BHA115 | 5th | 10th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1521% of fieldRange 11-15 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength5%
Delivery trend -3.1% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 12th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 91% | +0.15 |
| 17/08/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 09/10/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 19/04/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 04/05/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 33% | -0.27 |
| 25/05/2026 | 13th | 40/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 06/07/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 86% | +0.02 |
| 14/08/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 56% | -0.10 |
| 16/08/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 56% | -0.08 |