7
Warm In Gorey
8yo Gelding · 10-12 · OR 94
Clonmel · Slievenamon Claiming Hurdle · 2m 3f 145y
#8
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C8.9
Today:
Class gap: -1.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Listowel | BHA96 | 10th | 13th | −2 |
| 2026-08-06 | Sligo | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Limerick | BHA99 | 6th | 9th | −2 |
| 2026-06-13 | Downpatrick | BHA99 | 3rd | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-05-27 | Wexford | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Wexford | BHA92 | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1514% of fieldRange 8-15 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength12%
Delivery trend -0.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 92% | +0.31 |
| 21/08/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 63% | -0.06 |
| 12/09/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 91% | +0.15 |
| 05/10/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 27/05/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |
| 13/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 80% | +0.09 |
| 02/07/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 06/08/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 29% | -0.32 |
| 23/09/2026 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 47% | +0.21 |