10

Down After Dark

4yo Gelding · 11-10

Clonmel · Kilmore Maiden Hurdle · 2m 3f 145y

#9

Rank

Odds

100/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#9

★ Timeform

Commentary

Well beaten both completed starts in maidens.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 10.5 /10 (raw 10.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Kilbeggan 03/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 2m Goo 1563/09C8C8 @ Listowel 25/09/2026 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR - · 2m2f125y Goo 16425/09C8projClass-projected finish: 10th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-25Listowel?12th12th0
2026-09-03Kilbeggan?9th9th0
2026-08-28Wexford?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0925/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1333% of fieldRange 10-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength23%

Delivery trend +1.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/09/20269th200/10%20%+0.20
25/09/202612th200/10%21%+0.21