IvyArcIvyArc
2

Eternal Reward

5yo Gelding · 11-12

Clonmel · Kilmore Maiden Hurdle · 2m 3f 145y

#6

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#6

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Stepped up on hurdling debut when 26½ lengths sixth of 8 to Splendid Fellow in maiden at Kilbeggan 28 days ago, but needs to brush up his jumping and likely has low-level handicaps on the agenda once qualified.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 11.7 /10 (raw 11.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Fairyhouse 20/04/2025 · Pos 13th of 17 · OR - · 2m Sft 16020/04C?C8 @ Galway 29/07/2026 · Pos 16th of 20 · OR - · 2m6f Gd 16629/07C8C8 @ Kilbeggan 03/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 2m3f Goo 1663/09C8projClass-projected finish: 9th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Kilbeggan?6th6th0
2026-07-29Galway?16th16th0
2025-04-20Fairyhouse?13th13th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/0429/073/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1358% of fieldRange 5-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength55%

Delivery trend +1.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/04/202513th28/10%25%+0.25
29/07/202616th66/10%21%+0.21
03/09/20266th66/10%29%+0.29