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Howyasox

6yo Mare · 11-5 · OR 94

Clonmel · Kilmore Maiden Hurdle · 2m 3f 145y

#3

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#3

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Was in the process of showing much improved and looked likely to be placed when falling heavily at the last in 3m maiden at Cork in July. A repeat of that performance minus the error will see her go very close here.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Wexford 17/05/2025 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 2m Goo 16517/05C?C8 @ Tramore 25/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 2m5f Sft 15325/11C8C0 @ Killarney 11/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 2m1f Goo 16111/05C?C8 @ Tramore 29/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 2m5f145y Goo 16129/05C8projClass-projected finish: 7th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-10Cork?0
2026-05-29Tramore?6th6th0
2026-05-11Killarney?7th7th0
2025-11-25Tramore?8th8th0
2025-05-17Wexford?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0525/1111/0529/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +2.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/05/20257th22/10%50%+0.50
25/11/20258th66/10%0%0.00
11/05/20267th66/10%40%+0.40
29/05/20266th200/10%44%+0.44