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Kalico Leader

7yo Gelding · 11-12

Clonmel · Kilmore Maiden Hurdle · 2m 3f 145y

#5

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Made frame both completed starts in points. Shaped as if needing more of a test when fifth of 14 in maiden at Bellewstown (2½m, good) on hurdling debut before failing to complete at Navan last time. Should bounce back for all he'd ideally be suited by a longer trip than this.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Bellewstown 26/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 2m4f110y Goo 15826/08C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-19Navan?0
2026-08-26Bellewstown?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1375% of fieldRange 3-8 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/08/20265th33/10%69%+0.69