5

Lincall

5yo Gelding · 11-12 · OR 99

Clonmel · Kilmore Maiden Hurdle · 2m 3f 145y

#2

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

5%

Place Prob

14%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fifth in big-field maidens on at Clonmel and Naas last season but hasn't progressed since, including on handicap/stable debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 8.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Punchestown 29/04/2025 · Pos 18th of 18 · OR - · 2m149y Goo 16429/04C?C8 @ Clonmel 02/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 18 · OR - · 2m3f97y Hvy 1582/12C8C8 @ Naas 15/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 2m3f Sft 16615/12C8C8 @ Wexford 27/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 2m1f Goo 158 · HIGHER CLASS27/05C8BHA100 @ Wexford 28/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 100 · 2m4f100y Gd 168 · below its mark28/08/2026 · OR 100 par28/08100OR 100projClass-projected finish: 5th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28WexfordBHA1009th11th−2
2026-05-27Wexford?6th5th+1
2025-12-29Limerick?0
2025-12-15Naas?5th5th0
2025-12-02Clonmel?5th5th0
2025-04-29Punchestown?18th18th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/042/1215/1227/0528/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +3.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/04/202518th18/15%0%-0.05
02/12/20255th33/10%76%+0.76
15/12/20255th7/491%73%-0.17
27/05/20266th16/116%38%+0.22
28/08/20269th25/10%38%+0.38