13
Pixie Hill
6yo Mare · 11-5 · OR 85
Clonmel · Kilmore Maiden Hurdle · 2m 3f 145y
#11
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#11
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 10.2 /10 (raw 10.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Listowel | BHA88 | 15th | 16th | −1 |
| 2026-07-10 | Cork | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Punchestown | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Limerick | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 3-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength37%
Delivery trend -4.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/05/2026 | 10th | 100/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 06/06/2026 | 9th | 150/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 10/07/2026 | 6th | 300/1 | 0% | 74% | +0.74 |
| 23/09/2026 | 15th | 100/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |