7
Vargas
5yo Gelding · 11-12
Clonmel · Kilmore Maiden Hurdle · 2m 3f 145y
#4
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#4
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Navan | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Ballinrobe | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Downpatrick | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +39.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 24/08/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 19/09/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |