8

Woodie Wiley

5yo Gelding · 11-12

Clonmel · Kilmore Maiden Hurdle · 2m 3f 145y

#13

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#13

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Well held on completed starts in bumpers and maidens hurdles.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 9.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Bellewstown 04/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 2m1f40y Gd 1614/07C?C8 @ Cork 03/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 18 · OR - · 2m2f Goo 1663/08C8C8 @ Navan 19/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 2m5f Gd 16619/09C8projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-19Navan?10th10th0
2026-08-03Cork?10th10th0
2026-07-04Bellewstown?7th7th0
2026-06-06Punchestown?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/073/0819/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 130% of fieldRange 10-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength23%

Delivery trend -12.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/07/20267th40/10%60%+0.60
03/08/202610th40/10%47%+0.47
19/09/202610th66/10%36%+0.36