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8

Demanding Gerry

7yo Mare · 10-7 · OR 83

Clonmel · Derrinlaur Mares Handicap Hurdle · 2m 3f 145y

#3

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

5%

Place Prob

11%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Maiden has finished runner-up 4 times in handicaps. Shaped as if still in good form when 6¼ lengths fifth of 15 to At The Wings at Navan, again doing her best work at the finish. Entitled to be thereabouts.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength5%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 5.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA83 @ Downpatrick 23/05/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 83 · 2m2f185y Gd 140 · below its mark23/05/2025 · OR 83 par23/0583OR 83BHA82 @ Downpatrick 14/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 82 · 2m1f165y Goo 150 · below its mark14/07/2025 · OR 82 parBHA83 @ Kilbeggan 25/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR 83 · 2m2f200y Goo 151 · below its mark25/07/2025 · OR 83 par25/0783OR 83C8 @ Clonmel 02/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR 84 · 2m4f35y Yie 155 · below its mark02/10/2025 · OR 84 parBHA85 @ Punchestown 14/10/2025 · Pos 12th of 20 · OR 85 · 2m4f Goo 153 · below its mark14/10/2025 · OR 85 par14/1085OR 85BHA85 @ Wexford 27/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 85 · 2m1f Goo 153 · below its mark27/05/2026 · OR 85 parBHA86 @ Downpatrick 14/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 86 · 2m1f165y Gd 154 · below its mark14/06/2026 · OR 86 par14/0686OR 86BHA83 @ Kilbeggan 03/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR 83 · 2m3f Goo 140 · below its mark03/09/2026 · OR 83 parBHA84 @ Navan 19/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR 84 · 2m3f Goo 152 · below its mark19/09/2026 · OR 84 par19/0984OR 84projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-19NavanBHA845th5th0
2026-09-03KilbegganBHA834th4th0
2026-07-24KilbegganBHA850
2026-06-14DownpatrickBHA864th4th0
2026-05-27WexfordBHA852nd2nd0
2025-10-14PunchestownBHA8512th12th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/052/1014/0619/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength82%

Delivery trend -0.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/05/20255th14/126%56%+0.29
14/07/20252nd11/271%90%+0.19
25/07/20252nd3/184%92%+0.07
02/10/20252nd11/271%93%+0.22
14/10/202512th10/382%42%-0.40
27/05/20262nd8/158%92%+0.34
14/06/20264th6/168%77%+0.08
03/09/20264th11/142%80%+0.38
19/09/20265th6/168%71%+0.03