4

Golden Wings

5yo Mare · 11-10 · OR 100

Clonmel · Derrinlaur Mares Handicap Hurdle · 2m 3f 145y

#9

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Third of 20 in maiden at Punchestown on hurdles debut in January but well below that level in 4 subsequent starts, including on handicap debut on latest. Hard to make a case for unless market speaks firmly in her favour.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 8.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Naas 15/12/2025 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 2m Hvy 15715/12C?C8 @ Punchestown 11/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 20 · OR - · 2m122y Sft 15911/01C8C8 @ Cork 10/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR - · 2m3f50y Goo 16110/05C8C8 @ Cork 03/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 18 · OR - · 2m1f Goo 1613/08C8BHA102 @ Down Royal 28/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR 102 · 2m1f87y Goo 158 · below its mark28/08/2026 · OR 102 par28/08102OR 102projClass-projected finish: 10th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Down RoyalBHA10211th11th0
2026-08-03Cork?7th7th0
2026-05-10Cork?11th11th0
2026-02-10Limerick?0
2026-01-11Punchestown?3rd3rd0
2025-12-15Naas?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/1211/0110/053/0828/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 4-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength27%

Delivery trend -6.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/12/20259th33/10%43%+0.43
11/01/20263rd80/10%89%+0.89
10/05/202611th16/116%29%+0.13
03/08/20267th33/10%65%+0.65
28/08/202611th50/10%23%+0.23