4

Golden Wings
5yo Mare · 11-10 · OR 100
Clonmel · Derrinlaur Mares Handicap Hurdle · 2m 3f 145y
#9
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 8.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Down Royal | BHA102 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Cork | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Cork | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-02-10 | Limerick | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-11 | Punchestown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-12-15 | Naas | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 4-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength27%
Delivery trend -6.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/12/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 11/01/2026 | 3rd | 80/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 10/05/2026 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 29% | +0.13 |
| 03/08/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 65% | +0.65 |
| 28/08/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |