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6

Mia In Milan

5yo Mare · 11-1 · OR 91

Clonmel · Derrinlaur Mares Handicap Hurdle · 2m 3f 145y

#10

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Showed a bit more than previously over hurdles when 18¼ lengths eighth of 15 to The Dotski in mares maiden at Ballinrobe last. Looks open to further improvement back up in trip on handicap debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 9.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Punchestown 02/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 2m Yie 1612/05C?C8 @ Killarney 11/05/2026 · Pos 13th of 16 · OR - · 2m6f100y Goo 15311/05C8C8 @ Sligo 09/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 2m1f157y Yie 1619/06C8C8 @ Ballinrobe 11/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR - · 2m1f215y Goo 15311/09C8projClass-projected finish: 9th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Ballinrobe?8th8th0
2026-06-09Sligo?5th5th0
2026-05-11Killarney?13th13th0
2026-05-02Punchestown?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/0511/059/0611/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength52%

Delivery trend +5.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/05/202610th66/10%40%+0.40
11/05/202613th125/10%20%+0.20
09/06/20265th16/116%60%+0.44
11/09/20268th100/10%50%+0.50