7
Mount Shenshan
8yo Mare · 10-9 · OR 85
Clonmel · Derrinlaur Mares Handicap Hurdle · 2m 3f 145y
#8
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Killarney | BHA87 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Galway | BHA89 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Downpatrick | BHA91 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Tramore | BHA91 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Wexford | BHA92 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-16 | Limerick | BHA96 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 2-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength53%
Delivery trend +2.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/01/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 40% | -0.18 |
| 26/03/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 02/04/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 77% | +0.08 |
| 16/04/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 67% | +0.25 |
| 16/05/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 80% | +0.22 |
| 29/05/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 56% | -0.05 |
| 13/06/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 62% | +0.56 |
| 28/07/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 20/08/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 55% | +0.18 |