Bobby Kirova
4yo Gelding · 11-4 · OR 92
Clonmel · Ravens Rock Novice Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 3f 145y
#7
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.6 /10 (raw 8.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Kilbeggan | BHA92 | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-08-16 | Tramore | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-07-24 | Kilbeggan | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-07-12 | Sligo | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-12 | Gowran Park | BHA64 | 13th | 12th | +1 |
| 2026-05-11 | Roscommon | BHA68 | 13th | 12th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +4.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 19. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10/2025 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 02/11/2025 | 21st | 50/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 08/04/2026 | 13th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/05/2026 | 13th | 40/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 12/06/2026 | 13th | 50/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 12/07/2026 | 3rd | 50/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 24/07/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 64% | +0.48 |
| 16/08/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 03/09/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |