17

Centreofattention

7yo Gelding · 11-13 · OR 99

Clonmel · Ravens Rock Novice Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 3f 145y

#2

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

66%

Place Prob

48%

Rank

#2

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Bumper winner but has shown only modest form over hurdles/fences since. Distant third in handicap chase at Wexford last time. RESERVE.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.6 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C9.1
Today:
Class gap: -1.6
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Wincanton 12/01/2024 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 1m7f50y GS 156 · HIGHER CLASS12/015C0 @ Punchestown 30/04/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 2m3f58y Yie 16030/04C?C8 @ Galway 25/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 2m90y Yie 16625/10C8C8 @ Navan 06/12/2025 · Pos 11th of 26 · OR - · 2m Sft 1666/12C8BHA103 @ Kilbeggan 15/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR 103 · 1m7f153y Goo 159 · below its mark15/05/2026 · OR 103 par15/05103OR 103C0 @ Wexford 22/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 1m7f110y Gd 16622/07C?BHA102 @ Wexford 08/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 102 · 2m3f20y Goo 158 · below its mark08/08/2026 · OR 102 par8/08102OR 102projClass-projected finish: 11th of 19
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-08WexfordBHA1023rd6th−3
2026-07-22Wexford?2nd2nd0
2026-07-10Kilbeggan?0
2026-05-15KilbegganBHA1038th11th−3
2025-12-06Navan?11th12th−1
2025-10-25Galway?6th7th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/016/128/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1983% of fieldRange 2-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength63%

Delivery trend +6.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 19. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/01/20241st11/893%100%+0.07
30/04/20258th25/10%22%+0.22
25/10/20256th14/126%64%+0.38
06/12/202511th80/10%60%+0.60
15/05/20268th14/126%46%+0.20
22/07/20262nd50/10%80%+0.80
08/08/20263rd12/137%71%+0.35