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G N Jefferson

5yo Gelding · 11-3 · OR 89

Clonmel · Ravens Rock Novice Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 3f 145y

#11

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Dead-heated for third on the second of 2 starts in points but well held in a bumper (for Jack Teal) and 3 maiden hurdles under Rules. Makes handicap debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength16%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.9 /10 (raw 8.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Aintree 15/05/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR - · 2m209y Gd 166 · HIGHER CLASS15/054C8 @ Downpatrick 14/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 2m1f165y Gd 15814/07C8C8 @ Kilbeggan 24/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 2m2f200y Gd 15824/07C8C8 @ Downpatrick 09/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 2m5f180y Gd 1589/08C8projClass-projected finish: 16th of 19
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-09Downpatrick?7th8th−1
2026-07-24Kilbeggan?6th7th−1
2026-07-14Downpatrick?9th10th−1
2026-05-15Aintree412th8th+4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0514/0724/079/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1967% of fieldRange 1-17 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength82%

Delivery trend +20.8% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 19. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/05/202612th7/163%15%-0.48
14/07/20269th33/10%0%0.00
24/07/20266th100/10%64%+0.64
09/08/20267th50/10%0%0.00